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Phuket Local Survival Dashboard

Phuket is growing — are residents doing better?

Eight resident-outcome measures, each with its definition, source, limitations and the data still needed.

Evidence & methods pilot v1.0 — not live, no overall score. Historical values are not current, and "not yet measured" is not zero.

Metadata reviewed: (not the data observation period)

Eight measures

No green/red judgement and no claim that growth causes harm or benefit. Trends appear only with at least two validated, comparable periods.

  1. 1. Awaiting a valid dataset

    Housing affordability

    How much of household income goes on housing?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    For each respondent household: monthly housing costs (rent or mortgage + specified essential housing fees) ÷ the SAME household's monthly income. Report the median and distribution, and shares by tenure (renter / owner / other). No fixed 'unaffordable' threshold is applied.
    Unit
    % of household income (median, distribution)
    Population / geography
    Households resident in Phuket, incl. renters and migrant households where sampled
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Annual / None yet
    Source owner
    Needs representative household microdata or a documented matched sample

    Limitations: Never computed by dividing an average listing rent by an average wage — those describe different people.

  2. 2. Historical value cited — not current

    Cost of living context

    What did sampled households spend each month?

    38,941

    Mean total household expenditure · THB per household per month · period 2023 (B.E. 2566) · NSO Income 2566 provincial report, Phuket, Table 6 · attributed citation; licence not verified

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    Household expenditure as a contextual baseline. Not a price index, not a minimum living wage and not the cost for a typical resident.
    Unit
    THB per household per month (mean)
    Population / geography
    Sampled households in Phuket province (NSO Household Socio-Economic Survey)
    Period
    2023 (B.E. 2566)
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Each NSO survey round / One period cited (2023)
    Source owner
    National Statistical Office (NSO)

    Limitations: Mean, not median — skewed by high spenders. Historical sampled-household context, not today's cost of living. No trend is shown: another appendix uses a different per-capita denominator and is not comparable.

  3. 3. Awaiting a valid dataset

    Local SME survival

    Are local small businesses still operating a year later?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    12-month cohort survival: number of verified baseline eligible local SMEs still operating ÷ number of baseline eligible SMEs. Report closures, lost contact, seasonal closure, registered vs unregistered, and follow-up rate separately.
    Unit
    % of baseline cohort
    Population / geography
    Defined local SMEs (not all legal businesses)
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Baseline + 12-month follow-up / None yet
    Source owner
    Needs a PLC/partner cohort; DBD registrations/closures = context only

    Limitations: Registration and closure counts cannot be turned into a survival percentage, and cover legal entities rather than informal SMEs.

  4. 4. Source identified — not ingested

    Local jobs and earnings

    Do people living in Phuket have work, and what do they earn?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    Employment, unemployment and earnings among workers resident in Phuket, including migrant workers where the source defines them. 'Local' means resident, not birthplace or passport.
    Unit
    Rates (%) and THB per worker per month
    Population / geography
    Resident workers in Phuket
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Quarterly / None yet
    Source owner
    Phuket Provincial Labour Office (Q1/2025 report exists; values not extracted)

    Limitations: Job vacancies are not jobs held. Worker earnings and household income use different denominators and cannot be compared directly.

  5. 5. Awaiting a valid dataset

    Local value retention

    How much of participating organisations' spending stays local?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    (Locally paid payroll + eligible local procurement) ÷ eligible measured spending, for defined participating organisations, with documented resident/local-supplier criteria, exclusions, coverage and double-count prevention.
    Unit
    % of eligible measured spending
    Population / geography
    Participating organisations only
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Annual / None yet
    Source owner
    Unavailable — needs partner accounts

    Limitations: A local spending-share proxy for participants only — not economy-wide leakage, profit outflow or a multiplier.

  6. 6. Awaiting a valid dataset

    Travel time

    How long does the usual trip to work or school take?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    Median one-way usual commute in minutes, by mode, coarse origin/destination zones and time band, from a repeated consistent panel. No continuous GPS or personal routes.
    Unit
    Minutes (median)
    Population / geography
    Panel respondents (convenience sample is not representative of the island)
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Quarterly panel / None yet
    Source owner
    Needs a voluntary PLC panel (not running)

    Limitations: No paid map API is used. Panel results describe respondents only.

    No verified source yetData needed: See mobility issues
  7. 7. Candidate source — unverified

    Infrastructure pressure — waste

    Is waste received within documented treatment capacity?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    Consistently defined daily waste generated/received ÷ documented effective treatment capacity, for the same geography, period and unit.
    Unit
    Ratio (tonnes/day ÷ tonnes/day)
    Population / geography
    Facility service area as documented (not extrapolated to the whole island)
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Annual / None yet
    Source owner
    Phuket City Municipality / Pollution Control Department (candidates, unverified)

    Limitations: Never divide an annual volume by a daily capacity, and tourist counts alone are not a pressure measure.

    No verified source yetData needed: See waste issues
  8. 8. Candidate source — unverified

    Infrastructure pressure — water

    How often and how long is piped water interrupted?

    — not yet measured

    Trend: no comparable periods yet

    Definition / formula
    Documented interruption duration ÷ service exposure for a defined utility coverage area, or demand ÷ capacity where matching data exist.
    Unit
    Hours per connection per year, or ratio
    Population / geography
    Utility customers in the coverage area (PWA customers ≠ all residents)
    Period
    Not yet measured
    Cadence proposed / actual
    Quarterly / None yet
    Source owner
    Provincial Waterworks Authority / local providers (candidates, unverified)

    Limitations: Shortages are never inferred from tide, rainfall or missing data.

    No verified source yetData needed: See water issues

Growth context

Visitor statistics, tourism receipts and GPP describe the size of the economy, not household well-being. Compare aligned periods only; no forecasts or causal claims.

See visitor statistics with provenance in Phuket IntelligenceResident & commuter survey

Status: pretest — no answers are being collected

Who may be missing from the data

Unregistered and migrant residents, renters and informal SMEs are often under-counted in official data and convenience surveys.

Who does what

  • Phuket BiodiverCity frames the questions, with editorial independence.
  • PLC holds the sources, methods and history.
  • Voice to Action records real participation, actions and outcomes.
  • Regenera (Thailand) Co., Ltd. may deliver commissioned research or pilots, with funding, sampling and conflicts disclosed.
  • Payment never buys verification or a positive result.

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